Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 16.648283 19.378558 22.365404 25.868696 29.858031 34.252101 39.451006
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.994441 15.674976 20.123369 25.862494 33.033840 41.659135 52.774557
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.105286 13.062729 18.240956 25.438352 35.095946 47.507517 64.548248
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.088285 11.019770 16.524264 24.669149 36.261544 51.987172 74.708254
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.853985 9.765350 15.573596 24.642118 38.210087 57.468145 86.495296
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.974361 8.846453 14.909439 24.839609 40.365102 63.289261 99.129495
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.941124 7.478215 13.319659 23.353037 39.733978 64.870498 105.584675
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.535057 7.084687 13.214270 24.166220 42.694437 72.031933 120.930298
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.275771 6.901295 13.420612 25.489948 46.567512 80.882760 139.538873
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.777864 6.180841 12.575107 24.874544 47.095759 84.356852 149.766914
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.289966 5.388720 11.477993 23.651892 46.406847 85.699372 156.514641
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.171826 5.337450 11.776420 25.035060 50.465257 95.360165 177.885880
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.092826 5.379844 12.307493 27.009687 55.958046 108.220824 206.218974
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.842133 4.996007 11.928510 27.172397 58.120313 115.463105 225.483478
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.581402 4.533879 11.310823 26.762537 59.121038 120.666680 241.498724
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.334314 4.049475 10.562139 25.963917 59.235259 124.185213 254.636728
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.174024 3.753773 10.194482 25.936928 60.904175 130.765697 273.943010
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.048732 3.525088 9.947956 26.143992 63.071555 138.464407 295.905263
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.852439 3.045015 8.999822 24.587216 61.249938 138.044267 301.996085
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.793362 2.962914 9.055508 25.438897 64.841899 148.895866 331.182349
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.761058 2.958251 9.315608 26.824996 69.773642 162.874771 367.578683
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.654987 2.685878 8.800111 26.180639 69.930373 166.781133 383.580954
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.543143 2.362045 8.080232 24.900244 68.432401 166.989544 391.858868